9/5: The next week or so will likely have a lot of new polling data which will define whether or not a bounce occurred in either direction. My gut feeling is that the conventions will be a wash. 2 polls were released today in Indiana and Alaska. As a result, for the second consecutive day, Alaska gets one shade redder. Alaska is now safely on McCain's side and will likely not be close on election day. There has been a pronounced bounce (possibly more than 20 points) in Alaska based on Sarah Palin's nomination.
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