9/28: 6 polls in 5 states today result in no changes on the map. That said, there was a new poll in California that showed the lead for Sen. Obama down to 10. This cut his lead in my projection from 17 to 14 points and resulted in a popular vote shift of nearly 400,000 votes toward Sen. McCain today. This is the first substantial gain he's had in about 10 days. All polls that were released today were based on surveys taken before the debate on Friday night so no conclusions can be drawn about the debate just yet. That time will come soon enough.
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