9/29: 9 polls in 7 states provide 6 gains for Sen. Obama today. Only one change on the map, but it's an imporant one. Ohio is moved from barely McCain to toss-up after a new Rasmussen poll shows Sen. McCain ahead by only one. In addition, several older polls with wider margins were aged out oy my formula and as a result, Sen. McCain's lead was cut from 2.02% to 0.18%. Leadsfor Sen. Obama expanded today in Pennsylvania (Obama +5.24%) and Virginia (Obama +1.66%). Additionally, he cut his deficits in North Carolina (McCain +0.18%) and Florida (McCain +0.60%).
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