10/1: 19 new polls were released in 13 states today, resulting in 4 changes on the map and 2 in the electoral count, all of them in favor of Sen. Obama. Both Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are moved from barely to leaning Obama new polls show his lead expanding in both states. Missouri is moved to a toss-up after a new CNN/Time puts Sen. Obama ahead by 1. Ohio is moved from a toss-up to barely Obama after a new Quinnipiac poll puts Sen. Obama ahead by 8. While this may be an outlier, there is evidence that Ohio may be beginning to turn.
The math; since I began my projection in June no one has held as wide a lead as Sen. Obama has today in the electoral college. As it stands now, Sen. Obama holds 218 electoral votes in states where he holds leads of 6 points or more. Sen. McCain has an uphill fight from here, less than 5 weeks from the election.
No comments:
Post a Comment