10/9: Only one change today as West Virginia surprisingly moves into the toss-up column after a new ARG poll there puts Sen. Obama ahead by 8. Sen. McCain had been leading by 4-8 points in other recent polls and ARG's may be an outlier. More polling will be needed to confirm. Sen. Obama's lead has also now moved to over 5.4 million votes in my projection and is the biggest lead he has held since late July.
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