10/19: No changes on the map again today after several polls in swing states have begun to show that Sen. Obama may have peaked. That doesn't necessarily mean the race is moving back toward McCain just yet, but it appears he may have reached his peak in my projection. New Mason-Dixon polls in Ohio and West Virginia both show Sen. McCain ahead (8 points in WV). While this is only 1 standard deviation from the recent mean in both states, and Mason-Dixon tends to lean more Republican than some other pollsters, I think there is a growing trend that Sen. McCain has stopped the bleeding. It is likely that a ew polling in West Virginia will move the state back to barely on his side, putting him at 171 electoral votes.
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