Saturday, November 1, 2008

Electoral Math


11/1: 2 chanes on the map today, although none in the electoral count. Arkansa is moved from safe to leaning McCain as his lead is cut to 9 points. There is little chance that Sen. Obama can win this state, although polls in the last 10 days have shown a shrinking gap. In Pennsylvania, the last 6 polls have all shown Sen. Obama's lead cut to under 8 points and average less than 6. As a result, Pennsylvania is moved from safe to leaning Obama and may move again before
long. Sen. McCain has been spending a tremendous amount of time here, as he sees Pennsylvania as his only real chance to pick off a state that could get him to 270 electoral votes.

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