Friday, April 27, 2012

Electoral Math


Today, Rasmussen released a new poll in Florida showing Mitt Romney ahead 46-45 over Barack Obama.  This is the first poll here in 3 months where the former Massachusetts Governor was shown in the lead.  That said, over the last 4 polls have shown a slow and steadt decline in Obama's lead.  In Rasmussen's poll 6 weeks ago, Obama was ahead by 3.  As a result, his lead is cut from 5 down to about 3.6%.  Florida remains barely in his column, but it would not be at all surprising if Florida moves back into the toss-up column before long.  Romney also moves closer in the total popular vote by about 136,000 in my projection and cuts into the President's overall lead from 6.00% to 5.90%.

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