8/24: Mason-Dixon's new poll in Arizona shows Sen. McCain ahead here by only 6. While it confirms Arizona State's finding from last week, I'm a little suspicious that Arizona is actually this close. There are a couple of reasons for this. The first is that the sample size is only 400 which generates a +/- of 5%. The other is that the poll is older than the Arizona St. poll. As a result, Sen. McCain's margin is cut to 13 here, but the lead has a chance to be cut even more as new data becomes available.
\8/20: Arizona St. University released a new poll today showing Sen. McCain ahead by 10. Their results are similar to their last poll in that there is a very large percentage (nearly 30%) of undecided voters. Very little changes in Arizona and Sen. McCain is still safely ahead here.
8/4: 2 new polls in Arizona were released today. Rasmussen's poll shows Sen. McCain ahead by 16, while Public Policy Polling's (D) shows the lead at 12. As a result, Sen. McCain's lead in Arizona expands from 16 to 18 points.
6/26: Arizona State released a poll today showing McCain with a 10 point lead. It is a very small sample (only 175 registered voters) and show that 34% of those polled were undecided. It is very difficult to draw any conclusions from this poll.
6/21:Early on, the Democrats thought they could get a steal in the Mountain West in Arizona. Since McCain became the nominee Arizona has been taken off the map and is a safe Republican state. The Democrats will turn to other Western states (Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico) to try to steal electoral votes from past elections.
8/4: 2 new polls in Arizona were released today. Rasmussen's poll shows Sen. McCain ahead by 16, while Public Policy Polling's (D) shows the lead at 12. As a result, Sen. McCain's lead in Arizona expands from 16 to 18 points.
6/26: Arizona State released a poll today showing McCain with a 10 point lead. It is a very small sample (only 175 registered voters) and show that 34% of those polled were undecided. It is very difficult to draw any conclusions from this poll.
6/21:Early on, the Democrats thought they could get a steal in the Mountain West in Arizona. Since McCain became the nominee Arizona has been taken off the map and is a safe Republican state. The Democrats will turn to other Western states (Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico) to try to steal electoral votes from past elections.
No comments:
Post a Comment