Saturday, August 23, 2008

Kansas




9/28: 2 new polls in Kansas were relkeased this week showing Sen. McCain ahead by 20 and 12 respectively. As a result, Sen. McCainls lead is cut to 15 but remains safely on his side.

8/22: A new Survey USA poll in Kansas was released today showing Sen. McCain ahead by 23. This represents the lasrgest lead he has held here in any poll. It is also a 15 point swing toward Sen. McCain since Survey USA's last poll in June. As I mentioned in my post last week (see below) I thought their last poll was an outlier. Sen. McCain's lead expands to 17 here and is safely on his side.


8/13: A new poll in Kansas was released by Rasmussen today showing Sen. McCain with a 15 point lead. This is down 5 points from their previous poll in July. Kansas remains safely on McCain's side. It appears that the Survey USA and Cooper & Seacrest polls from June are outliers and skewing Kansas to be considerably closer than it actually is.
7/16: Rasmussen's new poll in Kansas shows Sen. McCain with a 20 point lead. This is double the lead they had reported in their last poll 5 weeks ago. With this poll Kansas moves back safely into McCain's column. 7/9: Target Point (R) released a poll today showing an expanding lead by John McCain, in fact, although Kansas is still only leaning McCain, it is only .38% away from moving back into the safe McCain column. One more poll with McCain at a 10 point lead or more should switch it.
6/26: Survey USA has released a new poll from Kansas showing John McCain's lead narrowing from 10 to 7 points over Barack Obama. As a result, Kansas is downgraded from Safe McCain to Leaning McCain. 6/20: Kansas is traditionally Republican and is not likely to be competitive.

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