Monday, August 25, 2008

Texas




8/25: Rasmussen's new poll in Texas is identical to their poll 3 weeks ago. There is no change as a result of this poll and Texas remains safely McCain's. As I mentioned in my post on the 14th (below), there is a good chance there will be a change in color once the Baselice & Assoc. poll is removed from my calculation.

8/14: The University of Texas released a poll today showing Sen. McCain ahead by 10. Little changes in Texas today, although a new poll with similar results that removes the Baselice & Ass. poll from May would likely swing Texas from safe to leaning McCain.
7/31: McCain's lead in Texas remains 9 in Texas in Rasmussen's new poll. Similar to Montana, I'm looking for another pollster to come into Texas to age out some of the older polls. McCain's lead remains at 11 points and for now remains safely in his column.
6/28: Rasmussen released a poll showing McCain with a 9 point lead. This more or less confirms the Lycera poll I was unsure of on Thursday. There is also a 4 point drop in McCain's numbers since the last Rasmussen poll 3 weeks ago.
6/26: The new Texas Lyceura Poll shows McCain with only a 5 point lead. For now it is being treated as an outlier and Texas remains a safe McCain state.
6/21: It doesn't get any bigger and redder than Texas. The latest polling shows McCain with a growing lead and will likely continue to the election.

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