Washington

9/28: 4 new polls were released in Washington showing leads for Sen. Obama from 5-11 points. Washington was moved from leaning to barely Obama and back again last week after Survey USA's poll came back showing Sen. Obama ahead by 11. Washington will likely stay a leaning state for a while as the next poll will removed the Rasmussen poll (Obama +2) from the equation.

9/12: Rasmussen's new poll in Washington shows Sen. Obama ahead by only 2. As a result, his lead has been cut to 6 and Washington is moved from safely to leaning Obama. It is likely it will move again to barely Obama with more new polling.

9/9: A new Survey USA poll in Washington shows Sen. Obama's lead cut to 4. This compares to 7 last month and 16 points 2 months ago. I'm looking for confirmation of this poll and for now (just barely) I'm leaving Washington safely Obama's. Any poll (except Surve USA) showing a lead of 10 or less will move Washington down to leaning status. 8/14: Survey USA released a new poll in Washington to day showing Sen. Obama ahead by only 7 points. This compares to a 16 point Obama lead last month. Washington remains safely Obama's for now, but another similar poll to this will likely swing Washington to a leaning state. 8/8: A new poll in Washington was released by Rasmussen today showing Sen. Obama ahead by 12. This is up from 9 in their last poll in July. Sen. Obama expands his lead from 14 to 15 points here and remains safe for him. 8/5: Elway's new poll in Washington shows Sen. Obama ahead by 12 points. This is largely in line with other recent polling and Washington remains safely on his side. 7/30: Today's Strategic Vision (R) poll shows Sen. Obama ahead by 11. As with Pennsylvania, it was an atypical presidential poll in the order of questioning. The poll can be found here: http://strategicvision.biz/political/wa_poll_083008.htm No real change here. Washington remains safe for Obama. 7/17: Survey USA's new poll in Washington shows Sen. Obama with a 16 point lead. This is up only a point compared to the last survey they took in June. Washington remains safely in Obama's column. 7/16: Moore Info (R) released a new poll in Washington today similar to most polling of late. Sen. Obama's lead in Washington expands to a little over 12 points overall and remains safely on his side. 7/11: Rasmussen released a new poll today showing Sen. Obama with a 9 point lead. This is in contrast to their report from June showing his lead at 18. While based on my projections his lead is still over 11 points, it was 15 just 3 weeks ago. 7/5: A new survey by Strategies 360 (D) has been released showing Sen. Obama's lead shrinking to 8 points. This is the second consecutive poll that has shown his led shrinking. So far, Washington remains safely in Obama's column. 6/21: Survey USA releases a new poll with Barack Obama ahead by 15% in Washington. This is little changed from previous polling and actually moves Obama's popular vote down by about 10,000. Washington is still safely in Obama's column. 6/20: Washington had been considered a Democratic leaning battleground in recent elections, but Obama appears to be pulling away in recent polls. McCain will have to work hard to get back in the race here.