Friday, October 24, 2008

Electoral Math


10/22: Only one change on the map today in Florida as the Sunshine State is moved back into the toss-up column. 3 of the last 5 polls here have sown Sen. McCain with a 1 or 2 point lead. Overall, Sen. Obama is still ahead here, but his lead is looking more tenuous. Despite this, Sen. Obama's popular vote lead has now expanded to over 7.6 million votes (5.52%). I keep waiting for something to happen that changes the trend that has occurred over the last month, but every time I think there's been a game-changer in the election, it turns out to not be reflected in polling data.

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