10/23: 2 changes on the map today. Florida is moved back from toss-up to barely Obama after 2 new polls show Sen. Obama ahead by between 5 and 7 points. The other big change comes Indiana. 2 new polls were released in Indiana today sowing Sen. Obama ahead by 4 & 9. There have now been 3 consecutive polls showing Sen. Obama in the lead here. As a result, Indiana is moved from barely McCain to barely Obama. There were also a couple of color changes today. First, Georgia is moved from leaning to barely McCain after a Rasmussen polls has him up by only 5. This compares to a 9 point lead in their poll 2 weeks ago. Finally, Minnesota is moved from leaning to safely Obama. 3 new polls were released there today showing leads between 10 & 19 points. Sen. Obama now has leads of 10 points or more in states worth 255 electoral votes and 306 in states where he holds leads of more than 6. Even if Sen. McCain wins all the states that are currently barely Obama (which I think is possible), he would only have 232. After that he would need to win Ohio and Virginia and Colorado (all of which Sen. Obama leads by about 6) to get to 274.
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