Sunday, January 29, 2012

Florida Republican Primary





2 new updates as NBC News/Marist and Rasmussen release polls showing Mitt Romney ahead by 15 and 16 points respectively.  It looks like the Florida Primary is becoming a runaway victory for the former Massachusetts Governor.  In my projections, Mitt Romney now leads by more than 9 points, vs. 6 points just yesterday.  I would not be surprised to see Mr. Romney win on Tuesday by a margin considerably larger than my projection based on the way polling has gone this week.

I'll keep looking for new data as it becomes available and may post again later today if there are any new polls released.
2 new polls were released overnight showing Mitt Romney ahead of Newt Gingrich by 8-11 points.  It would appear the gap between the two continues to widen slightly, since no poll has shown Mitt Romney in the lead by double digits since before the South Carolina Primary last weekend.  In my projection, Romney now has just shy of a 7.5% lead two days out from the primary.  I'll keep looking for polls today, but I don't expect there will be many, if at all.

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