Monday, April 2, 2012

Wisconsin & Maryland Primary

Mitt Romney appears to headed for victories in both Wisconsin and Maryland tomorrow night. 

In Maryland, only two polls were taken prior to tomorrow's primary (PPP & Rasmussen).  In both polls Mitt Romney leads by at least 17 points.  In fact, PPP's poll which was released late last night, has him ahead by 25.  In Maryland, it's going to be a runaway.  Romney +21.

In Wisconsin, where the race is expected to be closer, 6 different polls were conducted in the last week.  All 6 of them show Mitt Romney ahead by margins varying from 5 to 10 points.  Romney +8.

These two contests may finally signal a drawdown in the primary season for the Republicans.  The lead for Romney is simply too large for any of the challengers to have a legitimate chance to overcome.  It also appears that the establishment in the party is tepidly beginning to get behind him.

That said, I take both Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich at their word and will not get out of the race.  It's a long way to 1144, but I'm not sure either one of them (or the combination of the 2) can stop Romney from getting there.

No comments: