Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Electoral Math

3 new polls today resulting in Iowa, Massachusetts and Ohio today, resulting in a color change on the map and 6 EV added to Pres. Obama's side.  Additionally, his lead expands by about 145,000 votes to 5.68% in my projection.

First, in Iowa, PPP released a new poll showing Barack Obama ahead by 10.  This is a substantial shift from the previous poll here by the Des Moines Register when Mitt Romney was shown ahead by 2.  As a result, Obama's lead expands from 1.9% to 3.6% and Iowa is moved from toss-up to barely on Obama's side.

In Massachusetts, Rasmussen released a new poll shoiwng Barack Obama ahead by 21.  This is in contrast to their last poll in April when he was ahead by only 11.  Massachusetts remains safely on Obama's side as his lead expands in my projection from 18 to 22 points.



In Ohio, PPP released a new poll showing Barack Obama ahead by 7.  It's a little on the high side of previous polls, but largely in line with the poll it is replacing (Fox News) in my projection.  Ohio remains barely on Obama's side.  Obama +5.

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