Mitt Romney picks up 15 EV (NC) in my projection tonight after Gravis Marketing released a poll today showing the challenger ahead by 9. This might be a bit of an outlier based on the post-debate data that has come out in the last few days, but Rasmussen had Romney ahead by 2 prior to the debate last week.
Also, Pennsylvania moves from leaning to barely Obama after polls by Susquehanna & Siena College are relased showing Obama’s lead down to 2 or 3 points. Based on this new data, the next poll would have to show a tie or Mitt Romney lead and the state would be moved into the toss-up category.
Most other polls today continue to show substantial gains for Romney since the debate, but nothing has really changed in the last few days. The election right now is very close; even closer than my projections right now.
In the popular vote, Mitt Romney picks up 550,000 net votes (0.41%) with today’s polls and cuts the lead in my projection down to 3.8%. I fully expect as more data becomes available, more states will begin moving toward Romney, as his gains have not yet fully been realized in my projections.
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