Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Electoral Math 9/25/12

No changes on the map today, although 8 new polls in 6 states were released. The only real change on the map today is in the popular vote count, where Barack Obama's lead continues to expand ever so slightly by .1% or about 130,000 votes. I expect the next few weeks to be pretty busy, with more polls coming out daily throughout the remainder of the election cycle, so I'll be posting more as we get near the end of the campaign. 6 weeks from the election, there is a clear leader, despite the fact that national tracking polls seem to suggest that the race is closer than my projection. I'm not sure I buy it. The gap has been anywhere from 2-5 points for this entire election cycle.

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